RESEARCH

I'm an economics PhD candidate at UT Austin and will be on the 2025-26 job market.

My research interests currently involve applications of text analysis and natural language processing in macroeconomics, particularly in central bank communication and expectations formation.

Previously, I worked as a senior research assistant at the Federal Reserve Board where I studied topics in and helped forecast top-line domestic GDP and business fixed investment for usage in FOMC meetings.

You can also find my research on my Google Scholar profile, my SSRN profile, my GitHub profile, and my ORCID (0009-0000-8559-7915).

Works-in-progress

1

Tran, Paul L. (2023 - Ongoing). "More Time, Please: When Do Financial Markets Respond to FOMC Statements?" Job Market Paper.

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Working papers

1

Tran, Paul L. (Latest version: 2025). "Deciphering Financial Market Reactions to OPEC Announcements: A Neural Network Approach" SSRN Working Paper No 4968664. Submitted for publication.

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Archived papers

1

Choe, Derrick and Paul L. Tran (2017). "An Extension to the Profits Theory of Investment: Less Competition, More Growth?". BA thesis. Pomona College.

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2

Tran, Paul L. (2017). "Mathematically Modelling the Dynamics of Tuberculosis". BA thesis. Pomona College.

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